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Election results do not reflect merely personal popularity or the appeal of issues positions. Pure politics matter as well. And so, here are three reasons that Hillary Clinton will win the November election.
THE GROUND GAME. Public opinion polls are worth nothing when compared to the ability to register and turn out people who will vote for you. This requires sophisticated, comprehensive organization in precincts throughout the country, including carefully planned use of internet venues such as social media. In 2008, Hillary Clinton was overmatched in these matters when running against Barack Obama in the Democratic primaries. Obama’s team understood how to make best use of old and new tools in organizing his campaign, and this was a big factor in his being able to defeat Clinton and later John McCain. During the 2012 campaign, Obama’s supporters refined their techniques. Many of those supporters are now working for Clinton. She will not be outmaneuvered again, particularly because Donald Trump’s campaign reflects total lack of understanding of grass-roots organizing.
People do not just show up at the polls on Election Day; they must be courted and reminded even about basics such as where they should go to vote. A solid ground game, which Clinton has, is needed to accomplish that.
THE MINORITY VOTE. According to the Pew Research Center, 226 million Americans are eligible to vote this year, 11 million more than in 2012. More than two-thirds of this net growth of the electorate comprises Black, Hispanic, and Asian Americans. Among these three groups are 64 million eligible voters. In 2000, 78 percent of the U.S. electorate was white; in 2016, that figure is 69 percent.
Clinton is likely to win minority votes by a massive majority, particularly because Trump has alienated so many of these voters. To consider just the Hispanic vote, in crucial states such as Florida and Virginia, as well as throughout the Southwest, Trump’s provocative comments have spurred Hispanic voter registration, which could give Clinton an even bigger boost. This takes us back to the previous point about organization. If the Clinton campaign can turn out minority voters on Election Day, they may provide the margin of victory in numerous states, including some that have voted Republican in recent years.
THE HISTORIC MOMENT. The 2008 campaign was shaped in part by the historic opportunity to elect the first African American president, and in 2016 the prospect of the first woman president will certainly motivate many voters (men as well as women). Some Republican women and others who might not particularly care for Clinton are likely vote for her for this reason. The question is, how many? A larger number, particularly among Democrats, will be extraordinarily enthusiastic participants in the election process, egged on by the misogynistic comments that Trump is almost certain to keep making during the course of the campaign. Whatever voters’ feelings about Clinton herself, the idea of a woman as president will do much to shape the election results.
Trump certainly has assets as well, primarily his ability to cultivate dissatisfaction with America’s current direction. But in terms of getting actual votes on November 8, his strengths do not compare with those of Clinton. She will win.
OTHER KEY POINT REASONS ARE STATED BELOW:
1. She’s Qualified
To say that Hillary Clinton is qualified is like saying that baconized grilled cheese is delicious. Here’s a list of her accomplishments that make us all look lazy:
- She was elected Senior Class President of Wellesley College
- Graduated with honors from Yale Law School before completing another year of graduate studies.
- Worked on Presidential campaigns of Barry Goldwater (1964), George McGovern (1972), and Jimmy Carter (1976)
- Took a “summer job” on Senator Walter Mondale’s committee for migrant workers in 1971
- Chaired the Arkansas Educational Standards Committee while husband Bill Clinton was Governor
- Co-founded the Arkansas Advocates for Children and Families
- Named one of the 100 most powerful lawyers in America by the National Law Journal in 1988 AND 1991
- 8 Years as First Lady of the United States
- Served as US Senator from New York
- Served as US Secretary of State
2. She’s Championed Some AMAZING Causes
One of Secretary Clinton’s greatest achievements is the Global Health Initiative (GHI), introduced in 2010. Designed to put a focus on maternal an infant health, the GHI has implemented strategy to improve medical facilities, reduce the spread of HIV, and lower infant and maternal mortality rates.
Beyond individual achievements, Clinton has made it her life’s mission to ensure the world knows one simple thing: that “human rights are women’s rights and women’s rights are human rights.” In every position she has held, the former First Lady has fought to bring women closer to equality. Bringing issues like women’s health, equal pay, and domestic violence to the forefront, she has never stopped making cracks in the glass ceiling.
3. Her Stance on the Issues
One of the most important reasons to vote for Hillary Clinton (or any candidate) is that her views line up with yours. If you agree with her on the subjects below, you may have just found your candidate.
4. First Gentleman Bill Clinton
The job of the first spouse is an important one. In addition to serving as a public face for the White House, the first spouse is expected to take an active role in social activism, and holds a significant advisory role. Who is better suited for this position than one of the most charismatic presidents our country has ever seen?
No matter where you fall on the political spectrum, you have to admit: that charm is hard to say “no” to.
5. It’s About Damn Time
When a woman takes up the mantle of “Leader of the Free World,” our nation will cross a line, never to return. I’m not saying that Hillary Clinton becoming president will magically create nationwide gender equality, because it won’t. But when we join the ranks of countries like Germany, Denmark, and Chile by placing a woman as our Head of State, a new generation will grow up with an altered view of what a woman can do.
When women take on leadership roles, the way women are perceived and talked about changes. In just the last half-century, the way women are discussed in the media has changed dramatically. Because my generation grew up seeing women as senators and governors, (and creating laws that improve the lives of women) we perceive them in a different way than our grandparents. Unfortunately (for now), I can only imagine the discourse of a generation that grew up with a woman in the Oval Office.
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